P SC 1113 1st Edition Lecture 11 Outline of Last Lecture I Who Will Be Running in 2016 II The Decision to Run Outline of Current Lecture I Questions of Opportunity II The 2016 Presidential Calendar Current Lecture I Questions of Opportunity this is a final bit from lecture 10 A Is this the right year 1 Presidential ex 2012 50 55 of people vote a 2008 election was more diverse more African American more favorable for democrats 2 Midterm ex 2014 35 40 of people vote a Older whiter more republican B Is it the right electorate C Who else is running and what do they bring to the table 1 What do they already have going for them 2 Incumbent Is there someone who already holds the position that is running for reelection D How might national conditions play a role 1 Sometimes the public is noticeably annoyed with the government and there s a sense of wanting huge change 2 Economy a If it s good voters might support the incumbent E It s February 2015 and we re already talking about the presidential campaign Is it too early Why 1 No Candidates are building their framework right now 2 Yes People are ignoring other areas of government and giving most of their attention to the presidential election 3 The Concern The Permanent Campaign a Definition Melding of governing and campaigning These notes represent a detailed interpretation of the professor s lecture GradeBuddy is best used as a supplement to your own notes not as a substitute i Need lots of money less time writing bills voting meeting with constituents and more time gathering money ii Still thinking about how to get reelected iii Politicians are constantly running for office and it s beginning earlier and earlier 1 Politicians govern not necessarily to help society but to hold onto or seize power b The good and the bad of permanent campaign i Good Does it force politicians to listen more ii Good Does it offer more opportunities to participate iii Bad Too much short term thinking iv Bad Rise in combativeness talk about how great you are and how horrible everyone against you is c Obama is thinking about how to help his legacy and how to help democrats in the future d Democrats in congress are thinking about how they can take back the House hold the Senate and help the presidential campaign e Republicans are wondering how they can hold on to the House win the Senate and win back the presidency II The 2016 Presidential Calendar A January 18 Iowa caucuses January 26 New Hampshire primary 1 Goal capture The Big Mo mentum Iowa 2 How Start early a Not just potential candidates who car elites of all sorts do too b Result Invisible primary throughout 2015 i Invisible Primary networking between candidates and elites to potentially build electorally useful relationships c Must build human support i Realization candidates can t win on their own ii Court fellow partisans around the nation iii Work with interest groups iv Get local leaders and national figures on board d What are elites considering i Who is electable in November ii Who will unify the party iii Who will satisfy policy concerns iv Who will continue to listen
View Full Document
Unlocking...