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UVM PA 395 - Energy Policy Heinberg 4-6

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PowerPoint PresentationSlide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11Slide 12Slide 13Slide 14Slide 15Slide 16Slide 17Slide 18Energy PolicyHeinberg 4-6Gary FlomenhoftHEINBERG CHAPTER 4Non-petroleum energy sourcesOIL:EASILY TRANSPORTEDENERGY DENSEREFINABLEVARIETY OF USESHEINBERG CHAPTER 4ENERGY EVALUATION CRITERIAEROI / NET ENERGYRENEWABILITYENVIRONMENTAL COSTSTRANSPORTABILITY/CONVENIENCEHEINBERG CHAPTER 5BANQUET OF CONSEQUENCESECONOMY-MONEY AND DEBTTRANSPORTATIONFOOD AND AGRICULTUREHEATING AND COOLINGENVIRONMENTPUBLIC HEALTHINFORMATIONPOLITICSECONOMY-MONEY AND DEBTBAD-PAYBACK WITH INTEREST IN ERAOF DECLINING ENERGY?GOOD-REPLACEMENT OF ENERGY WITHLABORINFLATION/DEFLATIONTRANSPORTATIONCARS-COSTLY FUELAIRCRAFT-HYDROGEN?FOOD AND AGRICULTUREBASED ON CHEAP FOSSIL FUELSCAN FEED 2 BILLION PEOPLE WITH NO FOSSIL FUELSHEATING AND COOLINGEffects on fatalitiesEffects on refrigerationENVIRONMENTGood or badPUBLIC HEALTHMEDICAL CARE IS ENERGY INTENSIVEINFORMATIONPlastics and electrical usePOLITICSPolitical rivalries will become even more extremeShrinking resource base will trumpRight vs. left argumantsGEO-POLITICS US POLICY1)Support repressive regimes who have oil2)Support Israel-serves intelligence interests3)Terrorism double standard: Israel vs. Pales4) Instability of Saudi Arabia-pretext forTaking oil fields?MIDDLE EAST-IRAQSept 2003Iraq = #2 oil fields2002 Iraq-800,000 barrels/day#6 supplier for USExpect Sanctions to collapse-Iraqi oil floodsthe market. WAR will be necessary to installA more compliant government to keep USfirst on list, especially if S.A. goes into chaos.VENEZUELAHugo Chavez-increased governmentShare of oil revenuesApril 11, 2002 US backed coupOil exec installed. Counter-coup Reinstalled Chavez.Other US coups?When does the party end?1) Peak in global per-capita energy production = 1979!2) Peak in global net-energy availability = 1985-19953) Peak in oil extraction = 2006-20154) Peak in total energy production = same5) Energy-led collapse of global economy = dependent onOil peak6) Collapse of electricity grids = vulnerableMANAGING THE COLLAPSESelf, community, nation, worldFINAL WORD:1)Better understanding of important problems2)Realistic goals achievable3)Generation’s


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UVM PA 395 - Energy Policy Heinberg 4-6

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