POLS 051 1st Edition Lecture 15Outline of Last Lecture I. SALT II. Strategic Arms of Reduction III. Gorbachev’s Idea IV. Cuba After Communism, Sweig V. States Declared Nuclear States Outline of Current Lecture I. Cold War Content: Nuclear Strategy II. Security Dilemma III. Bush/Missile defense systems IV. 1999 National Missile Act V. 2010 Nuclear Arms Recruiting Pact VI. Why was the Cold War Era Stable? VII. Me Lost Logic of Deterrence” – BettsVIII. Getting yes with Iran- Jennis Robert Current LectureI. Cold War Content: Nuclear Strategy a. Deterrenceb. Mad second strike (capability) c. Strike back after being hit d. Diplomacy or Proxy Wars? e. Defense Systems i. Star Wars = SDI 1. Reagan vs. USSR Strike 2. Blanket Shield ii. Sentinel 1. Anti-missile shield in U.S neighborhoods (abandoned) iii. Safe Guard1. Safe Guard in remote areas (abandoned) II. Security Dilemma These notes represent a detailed interpretation of the professor’s lecture. GradeBuddy is best used as a supplement to your own notes, not as a substitute.a. When one state builds something to increase its security b. Causes fear in another state and to build something as well c. Endless cycle III. Bush/Missile defense systems a. Russia upset about Poland b. 1972 ABM treaty i. Each side limited to avoid prospective security dilemma ii. 9/11 Bush pulls out ABM treaty in fear of terrorist arguistion IV. 1999 National Missile Act a. Expensive tech not yet developed b. Possible security dilemmas c. Controversial V. 2010 Nuclear Arms Recruiting Pact a. Post-soviet, Georgia under Russia’s sphere (small group supported by Russia and Georgian government supported by U.S) b. Cooperation tension after tension with Georgia conflict VI. Why was the Cold War Era Stable? a. Nuclear deterrence b. Bi-polarity i. Predictable ii. Easier to balance iii. All attention focused on the other camp c. Memory of WW1 i. Need to avoid another World War d. Superpower satisfaction with status quo i. No need to risk losing status for both hegemons e. Soviet ideology i. Domestic change, not revolutionary spread worldwide VII. Me Lost Logic of Deterrence” – Bettsa. U.S has to thoroughly decide what to do, should or should not use deterrence. VIII. Getting yes with Iran- Jennis Robert a. Thesis: coercive diplomacy i. Sanctions: more or less on Iran ii. Lack of transparency for both players iii. U.s should strive towards a more creative deterrence logic through coercivediplomacy iv. Credible promises and threats together (tricky) v. Realist or liberal