The Glen Canyon DamThe Glen Canyon DamAdaptive Management ProgramAdaptive Management ProgramThe Doctrine & Formula of The Doctrine & Formula of Adaptive ManagementAdaptive ManagementManagement actions conducted as experimentsManagement actions conducted as experiments(versus trial & error)Close collaboration among stakeholders, Close collaboration among stakeholders, ““managers,managers,””and and ““scientistsscientists””(versus “experts” holding exclusive authority)Integrated ecosystem scienceIntegrated ecosystem science(versus fragmented scientific investigations)Explicit attention to scientific uncertaintiesExplicit attention to scientific uncertaintiesFormal experimental design & hypothesis testingFormal experimental design & hypothesis testingMonitoring of ecological and Monitoring of ecological and ““socialsocial””effectseffectsPolicyPolicy--relevant analysis of experimental resultsrelevant analysis of experimental resultsThe Doctrine & Formula of The Doctrine & Formula of Adaptive ManagementAdaptive ManagementManagement actions conducted as experimentsManagement actions conducted as experiments(versus trial & error)Integrated ecosystem scienceIntegrated ecosystem science(versus fragmented scientific investigations)Explicit attention to scientific uncertaintiesExplicit attention to scientific uncertaintiesFormal experimental design & hypothesis testingFormal experimental design & hypothesis testingMonitoring of ecological and Monitoring of ecological and ““socialsocial””effectseffectsPolicyPolicy--relevant analysis of experimental resultsrelevant analysis of experimental resultsClose collaboration among stakeholders, Close collaboration among stakeholders, ““managers,managers,””and and ““scientistsscientists””(versus “experts” holding exclusive authority)Prescription, Invocation, ApplicationIntelligence&AppraisalPromotion, Prescription, TerminationSome orientationSome orientation……Some orientationSome orientation……Some orientationSome orientation……AestheticNaturalisticEcologisticMoralisticSome orientation: Value stakesSome orientation: Value stakesUniversalismHedonismStimulationAchievementMoralisticEcologisticNaturalisticSome orientation: Value stakesSome orientation: Value stakesRespectRectitudeTraditionPowerSome orientation: Value stakesSome orientation: Value stakesGlen Canyon DamGlen Canyon Dam closure in 19631922 Colorado River Compact1956 Colorado River Storage Act1968 Colorado River Basin Project ActUtilitarianUtilitarianDominionisticDominionisticWealthWealthAchievementAchievementPowerPowerSome orientation: Value outcomesSome orientation: Value outcomes4 fish species extirpated4 fish species extirpated4 fish species listed under ESA4 fish species listed under ESASome orientation: Conditions l~dumd 6.ediment input gt meray Dramatic reduction in seasonal amplitude of flows Increase in daily arnplitucie of flows Dramatic reduction in sediment inputSome orientation: Conditions Reduced sediment input & energy Dramatic reduction in seasonal amplitude of flows Increase in dai1.y amplitude of flows Dramatic reduction in sediment inputSome orientation: ConditionsSome orientation: ConditionsMore consistently cold waterMore consistently cold waterSome orientation: ConditionsSome orientation: ConditionsMore consistently cold waterMore consistently cold waterSome orientation: ConditionsSome orientation: ConditionsMore consistently cold waterMore consistently cold waterHumpback chub++Rainbow trout (non-native)––––?↓↓Water temperature Water temperaturePrescriptive ResponsePrescriptive Response1992 Grand Canyon Protection Act1992 Grand Canyon Protection ActGlen Canyon Dam Glen Canyon Dam Adaptive ManagementAdaptive ManagementProgram (Program (APMAPM))1997 Adaptive Management 1997 Adaptive Management Working GroupWorking Group((AMWGAMWG))1995 Final 1995 Final EISEISfor Operation of Glen Canyon Damfor Operation of Glen Canyon DamSome orientation: Some orientation: The Adaptive Management Working GroupThe Adaptive Management Working GroupScience AdvisorsGrand Canyon Research & Monitoring CenterGCMRC“Recommendations”on budget & monitoring & research programs Adaptive Management Working GroupAMWGSecretary’s designeeSecretary of the InteriorIndependent Review PanelsIRP(s)Technical Working GroupTWGScience AdvisorsGrand Canyon Research & Monitoring CenterGCMRC“Recommendations”on budget & monitoring & research programs Adaptive Management Working GroupAMWGSecretary’s designeeSecretary of the InteriorIndependent Review PanelsIRP(s)Technical Working GroupTWG“Promotion” (Prescription)“Promotion”(Prescription) INTELLIGENCE Some orientation: Some orientation: The Adaptive Management Working GroupThe Adaptive Management Working GroupScience AdvisorsGrand Canyon Research & Monitoring CenterGCMRC“Recommendations”on budget & monitoring & research programs Adaptive Management Working GroupAMWGSecretary’s designeeSecretary of the InteriorIndependent Review PanelsIRP(s)Technical Working GroupTWGSome orientation: Some orientation: The Adaptive Management Working GroupThe Adaptive Management Working Group$2 million$8 millionAll from power revenuesAll from power revenuesHydropower & assoc. revenueRaft recreationCold-water trout fisheryEndangered warm-water speciesSediment (beaches for rafters,protection of cultural artifacts)Natural riparian vegetationWater quantity & quality (for irrigation & urban areas)Cultural “resources”Non-use valuesValued tangibles & intangibles as outcomes of decision process5 First Nations Tribes2 Environmental Groups2 Power User Groups7 River Basin States2 Fed. Power Admin. Agencies1 State Game & Fish Agency1 Angler Group1 Raft Recreation Group2 Fed. Environmental Agencies“Stakeholders”Some orientation: Some orientation: The Adaptive Management Working GroupThe Adaptive Management Working GroupSome orientation: Some orientation: The Adaptive Management Working GroupThe Adaptive Management Working GroupAdaptive Management Working GroupAMWGSecretary’s designeeOverseen implementation & monitoring of EIS preferred alternative(which entailed 30 predictions regarding outcomes)Primary EIS prescriptionModified Low Fluctuating Flows = MLFFOverseen implementing 1 controlled flood(Beach/Habitat-Building Flood = BHBF)Some orientationSome orientationAppraisalAppraisalAdaptive Management Working GroupAMWGSecretary’s designeeNo information to judge 14