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CMU CS 10701 - What’s learning? Point Estimation

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1©2005-2007 Carlos Guestrin1What’s learning?Point EstimationMachine Learning – 10701/15781Carlos GuestrinCarnegie Mellon UniversitySeptember 10th, 2007http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~guestrin/Class/10701/2©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinWhat is Machine Learning ?23©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinMachine LearningStudy of algorithms that improve their performance at some task with experience4©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinObject detectionExample training images for each orientation(Prof. H. Schneiderman)35©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinText classificationCompany home pagevsPersonal home pagevsUniveristy home pagevs…6©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinReading a noun (vs verb)[Rustandi et al., 2005]47©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinModeling sensor data Measure temperatures at some locations Predict temperatures throughout the environmentSERVERLABKITCHENCOPYELECPHONEQUIETSTORAGECONFERENCEOFFICEOFFICE50515253544648494743454442 41373938 36333610111213141516171920212224252628303231272923189587434123540[Guestrin et al. ’04] 8©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinLearning to act Reinforcement learning An agent  Makes sensor observations Must select action Receives rewards  positive for “good” states negative for “bad” states[Ng eat al. ’05]59©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinGrowth of Machine Learning Machine learning is preferred approach to Speech recognition, Natural language processing Computer vision Medical outcomes analysis Robot control Computational biology Sensor networks … This trend is accelerating Improved machine learning algorithms  Improved data capture, networking, faster computers Software too complex to write by hand New sensors / IO devices Demand for self-customization to user, environment10©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinSyllabus Covers a wide range of Machine Learning techniques – from basic to state-of-the-art You will learn about the methods you heard about: Naïve Bayes, logistic regression, nearest-neighbor, decision trees, boosting, neural nets, overfitting, regularization, dimensionality reduction, PCA, error bounds, VC dimension, SVMs, kernels, margin bounds, K-means, EM, mixture models, semi-supervised learning, HMMs, graphical models, active learning, reinforcement learning… Covers algorithms, theory and applications It’s going to be fun and hard work ☺611©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinPrerequisites Probabilities  Distributions, densities, marginalization… Basic statistics Moments, typical distributions, regression… Algorithms Dynamic programming, basic data structures, complexity… Programming Mostly your choice of language, but Matlab will be very useful We provide some background, but the class will be fast paced Ability to deal with “abstract mathematical concepts”12©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinRecitations  Very useful! Review material Present background Answer questions Thursdays, 5:00-6:20 in Wean Hall 5409 Special recitation 1: tomorrow, Wean 5409, 5:00-6:20 Review of probabilities Special recitation 2 on Matlab Tuesday, Sept. 18th 4:30-5:50pm NSH 3002713©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinStaff Four Great TAs: Great resource for learning, interact with them! Joseph Gonzalez, Wean 5117, x8-3046, jegonzal@cs, Office hours: Tuesdays 7-9pm Steve Hanneke, Doherty 4301H, x8-7375, shanneke@cs, Office hours: Fridays 1-3pm Jingrui He, Wean 8102, x8-1299, jingruih@cs, Office hours: Wednesdays 11-1pm Sue Ann Hong, Wean 4112, x8-3047, sahong@cs, Office hours: Tuesdays 3-5pm Administrative Assistant Monica Hopes, x8-5527, meh@cs14©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinFirst Point of Contact for HWs To facilitate interaction, a TA will be assigned to each homework question – This will be your “first point of contact” for this question But, you can always ask any of us For e-mailing instructors, always use: [email protected] For announcements, subscribe to: 10701-announce@cs https://mailman.srv.cs.cmu.edu/mailman/listinfo/10701-announce815©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinText Books Required Textbook:  Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning; Chris Bishop Optional Books: Machine Learning; Tom Mitchell The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction; Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, Jerome Friedman Information Theory, Inference, and Learning Algorithms; David MacKay16©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinGrading 5 homeworks (35%) First one goes out 9/12 Start early, Start early, Start early, Start early, Start early,Start early, Start early, Start early, Start early, Start early Final project (25%) Details out around Oct. 1st Projects done individually, or groups of two students Midterm (15%) Thu., Oct 25 5-6:30pm location: MM A14 Final (25%) TBD by registrar917©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinHomeworks Homeworks are hard, start early ☺ Due in the beginning of class 3 late days for the semester After late days are used up: Half credit within 48 hours Zero credit after 48 hours All homeworks must be handed in, even for zero credit Late homeworks handed in to Monica Hopes, WEH 4619 Collaboration You may discuss the questions Each student writes their own answers Write on your homework anyone with whom you collaborate Each student must write their own code for the programming part Please don’t search for answers on the web, Google, previous years’homeworks, etc.  please ask us if you are not sure if you can use a particular reference18©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinSitting in & Auditing the Class Due to new departmental rules, every student who wants to sit in the class (not take it for credit), must register officially for auditing To satisfy the auditing requirement, you must either: Do *two* homeworks, and get at least 75% of the points in each; or Take the final, and get at least 50% of the points; or Do a class project and do *one* homework, and get at least 75% of the points in the homework; Only need to submit project proposal and present poster, and get at least 80% points in the poster.Please, send us an email saying that you will be auditing the class and what you plan to do. If you are not a student and want to sit in the class, please get authorization from the instructor1019©2005-2007 Carlos GuestrinEnjoy! ML is becoming ubiquitous in science, engineering and


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