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UCLA STATS 10 - Chapter 7

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Bivariate Correlational Research Association claims with 2 variables  Uses measured variables How do you know the strength of a correlation?  Use Cohen’s guidelines…  [insert table of Cohen vales]  Only use this with quantitative data (i.e. has a range of scores) What if you have ‘categorical data’ (ex: yes/no variable)?  Not useful to graph with scatter plot… better to use bar graph  Don’t use r with categorical data Construct validity: how do we evaluate this?  5 ways to evaluate statistical validity:  1) effect size  2) statistical significance  3) presence of ‘subgroups’  4) outliers  5) curvilinear relationship 1) effect size: strength of the evaluation  If you have a strong effect size  A) Can make more accurate predictions  B) Can help you how important the effect is  2) Statistical significance: result is extreme enough that is unlikely to have happened by chance  Logic: looking for a difference in the sample that reflects true difference in population…  Sometimes find differences in sample by chance when not actually true…  Significance evaluates probability that the sample result came from population with no association (i.e. probability it’s a fluke)  If there is a very small probability (p) of this happening (less than 5%) then we say its significant  Means there is a very low probability that effect is a fluke  p<.05  Connection between effect size, sample size, and significance  3) Subgroups: if there are particular groups within the overall sample  Can create a ‘spurious’ association: overall effect is attributable only to differences between subgroups  4) outliers: extreme scores  EX: (A): r = 0.49; (B) r = 0.15  Outliers can have a large effect on r, especially if there is a small sample size  5) Curvilinear relationship, r will look nonsignificant  EX: r = 0.01 EX: negative correlation between small talk and well-being  Three criteria:  1) Covariation  As A changes then B changes  2) Temporal precedence  Correlations have directionality problem  3) Internal validity  Correlations have ‘3rd variable’ problem How do we evaluate this?  Who are participants?  How were they selected? Moderating variables: when relationship between 2 variables changes depending on level of 3rd variable  EX: no correlation between maternal employment & child’s vocab…  This depends on whether mother is married or single  So, relationship depends on marital status (i.e. marital status is a moderating variable)  Means correlation does not generalize to all


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UCLA STATS 10 - Chapter 7

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