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- HW # 3 is due the Wednesday after spring break- Chapters 10 and 11 are due after break---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Issues with CPIo Substitution bias CPI doesn’t allow for substitution; you use the exact same products when calculating CPI (even though consumers often substitute items when the things they usually buy are expensive) This leads to an overstatement of inflation (because in reality the basket you consume costs less than what the CPI says)o Innovation over time It’s hard for CPI to adjust for innovation As innovation occurs the dollar has more purchasing power (e.g. computers costa lot more when they first became popular than they do now, because innovation has increased over time)- Costs of inflationo Shoe-leather costs You “wear out your shoes” spending time hunting for deals You want to buy items now because the value of the dollar is being eroded, so you have more purchasing power nowo Menu costs You must constantly “update the menu at your restaurant” because prices become dated and must increase as inflation occurs It is “expensive to reprint the menu” (re-pricing items costs time and effort)o Unit of account costs Because inflation causes prices to rise, the dollar becomes a less reliable unit of measuremento E.g. Joe loans Helen $100 due at the end of the year. Joe charges 10% interest on the loan for the year. Suppose inflation is 10%. How much will Helen pay Joe at the end of the year?- Total payment = amount borrowed + interest on the loan = $100 + 0.1*($100) = principle amount + interest = $100*(1 + 0.1) = $110 What is the purchasing power of this nominal payment using the base year’s dollars?- Real value = [(nominal value)/(price index)]*(scale factor) = [$110/1.1]*1 = $100 (price index accounts for 10% interest)- Fisher Equation: Real interest rate = nominal interest rate – expected inflation rate( = 10% - 10% = 0 )o The nominal interest rate must be larger than the expected inflation rate for the real interest rate to be positive Suppose Joe wants the real interest rate to be 10%, what will the nominal interest rate be?- Using fisher equation: 10% = nominal interest rate – 10%Nominal interest rate = 20%o GDP deflator vs. CPI Each is an index of price and they have similar values GDP has fixed prices CPI has fixed quantities- Macroeconomic goals (3 basic ones)o Economic growth If the population is fixed, the standard of living will rise with economic growth (more GDP/capita) If the population is growing, there must be economic growth to at least maintain the standard of living, if not increase it The U.S. is about 10th in the world rankings for GDP/capita and is 3rd in economicgrowth rateo Full employment (we want everyone to be employed to fully utilize our resources)o Stable prices (low shoe-leather


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UW-Madison ECON 102 - Issues with CPI

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