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Capital budgeting
the process of making long-term investment decisions decision making process that enables a firm to evaluate the viability of a long-term project and whether it is worth undertaking
Independent projects
when the cash flows of one project are unaffected by the acceptance of another
Mutually exclusive projects
a set of projects where only one can be accepted
Incremental earnings
amount by which a firm's earnings are expected to change as a result of an investment decision
Sunk costs
historical costs that are not relevant to the investment decision
Cannibalization
when a new product line decreases the sales of the firm's other product lines
depreciable basis
the fully installed cost of an asset --> amount you can write off on taxes (installation, delivery)
Capitalized expenditures
expenditures that may provide benefits into the future and therefore are treated as capital outlays and not as expenses of the period in which they were incurred (e.g shipping & installation) Written off over the product's life
Book value
the depreciable basis of the asset less its accumulated depriciation
straight line depreciation
the same amount each year is depreciated over the economic life of the asset
MACRS depreciation
the amount depreciated is dependent on a provided MACRS schedule in which more of the value of the asset is depreciated in the yearly years of its economic life
Salvage value
the market value of an asset at the time of sale
intrinsic value
represents the true value of the company's stock -- what the price should be in perfect world
stock price
the current market value of the stock
Free cash flow
measures the cash generated by the firm before any payments to debt- or equity-holders are considered
weighted average cost of capital
appropriate discount rate to use when discounting the FCF of the firm cost of capital that reflects the risk of the overall business, which is the combined risk of the firm's equity and debt
Terminal enterprise value
enterprise value of the firm immediately prior to the start of constant growth of the FCF
When to use Discounted Free Cash Flow Model
Preferred to the dividend growth model since many firms don't pay dividends or they are hard to forecast Similar to dividend growth model, assumes at some point FCF will grow at a constant rate
Method of comparables
the value of the firm is based on the value of other comparable firms or investments that we expect will generate very similar cash flows in the future
Valuation multiples
a ratio of a firm's value to some measure of the firm's scale or cash flow P/E Ratio, Enterprise Value Multiples, etc.
Limitations of Multiples
Firms are not identical Differences in multiples can be related to differences in expected future growth rate risk (cost of capital) differences in accounting conventions between countries
Efficient markets hypothesis
Implies that securities will be fairly priced, based on their future cash flows, given all information that is available to investors
Public, easily accessible info
info available to all investors includes info in news reports, financial statements, corporate press releases, or other public data sources
Overconfidence hypothesis
tendency of individual investors to trade too much based on the mistaken belief that they can pick winners and losers better than investment professionals
Disposition effect
investors tend to hold on to stocks that have lost value and sell stocks that have risen in value, reflects reluctance to admit a mistake by taking the loss
Investors Attention, Mood & Experience
Investors are not generally full-time traders, they have limited time and attention More likely to buy stocks in the news, advertised more, etc. Stock exchange is higher on sunny days than on cloudy days Investors put too much weight on their own experiences
Risk
probability of not receiving the expected return from an investment
risk-return trade-off
to entice investors to take more risks, you have to provide them with a higher expected return
Stand-Alone Risk
the risk an investor would face if he/she held only one investment
Historical realized rate of return
total return earned over a particular period
Coefficient of variation
standardized measure of dispersion about the expected value that shows the risk per unit of return
Systematic risk
portion of a security's stand-alone risk that cannot be eliminated through diversification Ex: Recession, 9/11 AKA Common risk
Unsystematic risk
portion of a security's stand-alone risk that can be eliminated through proper diversification AKA independent risk
Diversification
averaging out of independent/unsystematic risks in a large portfolio
Portfolio weights
fraction of the total investment in a portfolio held in each individual investment in the portfolio -- adds up to 100%
return of portfolio
weighted average of the returns on the investments in a portfolio, where the weights correspond to the portfolio weights
Volatility
total risk of a portfolio measured by SD
correlation
ranges from -1 to +1 and measures the degree to which the returns share common risk
Beta
the expected percentage change in the excess return of a security for a 1% change in the excess return of the market portfolio

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