POLYS 103 Septemer 26 Lecture 15Outline of Last Lecture I. HegemonsII. MultipolarityIII. BipolarityIV. UnipolarityV. China a rising powerOutline of Current Lecture II. possible responses to global issuesa. Climate Changeb. EbolaIII. Two level gamesCurrent LectureClimate changeClimate is the general trend in weather over a long period of timeWeather is short term, day to dayChanges in weather are not necessarily changes in climate-Goal is to limit temperature increase to about 3.5 degrees by 2000The causes in increase of temperature-modern conveniences-globalization-developmentClimate problem is a global problemStates need to come together and cooperate if they want to do something about it.Climate problem is a long term problemThese notes represent a detailed interpretation of the professor’s lecture. GradeBuddy is best used as a supplement to your own notes, not as a substitute.-Economic problems:-health costs – particulate emissions-less arable land-rain patterns change-Security Threat-movement of people-potential conflict over land-potential conflict over water-major issueThe concentration of living is near the coast-sea levels start to rise and there would be no place to liveLiberal arguments for climate change-Montreal Protocol 1987: states came together to cooperate about a hole in the ozone layer-Economic benefits/ costs which means there are winners and losers-Denser cities-Better infrastructure-less particulate emissions, better health-Reduce farm subsidies-increased efficiencyThe longer the wait, the greater the cost of changing-Fossil fuels become more expensiveLarge incentive for defection-only get a payoff if there is enough cooperationRealists Arguments-Kyoto Protocol-US did not ratify-no firm commitment-no immediate threat-Chance of long term cooperation is low-high up front costs-long term payment: if a state makes reforms and other states don't, the states relative power will decrease in comparison to other statesClimate change-Two level gameInternational levelThese notes represent a detailed interpretation of the professor’s lecture. GradeBuddy is best used as a supplement to your own notes, not as a substitute.-diverse states need to be able to make credible commitments-Need assurances other states will be able to commit at the dommestic levelDomestic level-winners and losers-need public support-need support of businessesEbolaStop it from spreading-people need to be isolatedIt has been spreading rapidlyIt has the chance to spread globallyThis is the largest Ebola outbreak everResponses to EbolaRealists-will argue that AIDS are still spreading -Ebola is a concrete and immediate threat so might be a response because it is a securitythreat-States with resources aren't as threatened -Greater chance of response from Ebola than climate changeLiberalists-Point to polio-now pretty much eliminated-Ebola is a concrete immediate threat-Cost of action is low compared to the cost of inaction-Still problem of defectionExternal Responses-US contributes the most which increases their soft power (good will)Internal Response-countries can't take care of problem themselves- very poor health care systemInternational action is required to prevent spread.International agreement and domestic agreement to stop Ebola. These notes represent a detailed interpretation of the professor’s lecture. GradeBuddy is best used as a supplement to your own notes, not as a
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