Managerial Economics & Business StrategyOverviewManagerial EconomicsIdentify Goals and ConstraintsEconomic vs. Accounting ProfitsOpportunity CostProfits as a SignalUnderstanding Firms’ IncentivesMarket InteractionsThe Time Value of MoneyPresent Value vs. Future ValuePresent Value of a SeriesNet Present ValuePresent Value of a PerpetuityFirm Valuation and Profit MaximizationMarginal (Incremental) AnalysisNet BenefitsMarginal Benefit (MB)Marginal Cost (MC)Marginal PrincipleThe Geometry of Optimization: Total Benefit and CostThe Geometry of Optimization: Net BenefitsConclusionManagerial Economics & Business StrategyChapter 1The Fundamentals of Managerial EconomicsMcGraw-Hill/IrwinMichael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business StrategyCopyright © 2008 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.OverviewI. IntroductionII. The Economics of Effective ManagementIdentify Goals and ConstraintsRecognize the Role of ProfitsFive Forces ModelUnderstand Incentives Understand MarketsRecognize the Time Value of MoneyUse Marginal Analysis1-2Managerial Economics•ManagerA person who directs resources to achieve a stated goal.•EconomicsThe science of making decisions in the presence of scare resources.•Managerial EconomicsThe study of how to direct scarce resources in the way that most efficiently achieves a managerial goal.1-3Identify Goals and Constraints•Sound decision making involves having well-defined goals.Leads to making the “right” decisions.•In striking to achieve a goal, we often face constraints.Constraints are an artifact of scarcity.1-4Economic vs. Accounting Profits•Accounting ProfitsTotal revenue (sales) minus dollar cost of producing goods or services.Reported on the firm’s income statement.•Economic ProfitsTotal revenue minus total opportunity cost.1-5Opportunity Cost•Accounting CostsThe explicit costs of the resources needed to produce produce goods or services.Reported on the firm’s income statement.• Opportunity CostThe cost of the explicit and implicit resources that are foregone when a decision is made.•Economic ProfitsTotal revenue minus total opportunity cost.1-6Profits as a Signal•Profits signal to resource holders where resources are most highly valued by society.Resources will flow into industries that are most highly valued by society.1-7Understanding Firms’ Incentives•Incentives play an important role within the firm.•Incentives determine:How resources are utilized.How hard individuals work.•Managers must understand the role incentives play in the organization.•Constructing proper incentives will enhance productivity and profitability.1-8Market Interactions•Consumer-Producer RivalryConsumers attempt to locate low prices, while producers attempt to charge high prices.•Consumer-Consumer RivalryScarcity of goods reduces the negotiating power of consumers as they compete for the right to those goods.•Producer-Producer RivalryScarcity of consumers causes producers to compete with one another for the right to service customers.•The Role of GovernmentDisciplines the market process.1-9The Time Value of Money•Present value (PV) of a future value (FV) lump-sum amount to be received at the end of “n” periods in the future when the per-period interest rate is “i”: P VF Vin1•Examples:Lotto winner choosing between a single lump-sum payout of $104 million or $198 million over 25 years.Determining damages in a patent infringement case.1-10Present Value vs. Future Value•The present value (PV) reflects the difference between the future value and the opportunity cost of waiting (OCW).•Succinctly,PV = FV – OCW•If i = 0, note PV = FV.•As i increases, the higher is the OCW and the lower the PV.1-11Present Value of a Series•Present value of a stream of future amounts (FVt) received at the end of each period for “n” periods:•Equivalently, P VF ViF ViF Vinn 11221 1 1. . . ntttiFVPV111-12Net Present Value•Suppose a manager can purchase a stream of future receipts (FVt ) by spending “C0” dollars today. The NPV of such a decision is N P VF ViF ViF ViCnn 1122 01 1 1. . .Decision Rule:If NPV < 0: Reject projectNPV > 0: Accept project1-13Present Value of a Perpetuity•An asset that perpetually generates a stream of cash flows (CFi) at the end of each period is called a perpetuity.•The present value (PV) of a perpetuity of cash flows paying the same amount (CF = CF1 = CF2 = …) at the end of each period is iCFiCFiCFiCFPVPerpetuity ...111321-14Firm Valuation and Profit Maximization•The value of a firm equals the present value of current and future profits (cash flows).•A common assumption among economist is that it is the firm’s goal to maximization profits.This means the present value of current and future profits, so the firm is maximizing its value. 12101...11tttFirmiiiPV1-15•Control Variable Examples:OutputPriceProduct QualityAdvertisingR&D•Basic Managerial Question: How much of the control variable should be used to maximize net benefits?Marginal (Incremental) Analysis1-16Net Benefits•Net Benefits = Total Benefits - Total Costs•Profits = Revenue - Costs1-17Marginal Benefit (MB)•Change in total benefits arising from a change in the control variable, Q:•Slope (calculus derivative) of the total benefit curve.QBMB1-18Marginal Cost (MC)•Change in total costs arising from a change in the control variable, Q:•Slope (calculus derivative) of the total cost curveQCMC1-19Marginal Principle•To maximize net benefits, the managerial control variable should be increased up to the point where MB = MC.•MB > MC means the last unit of the control variable increased benefits more than it increased costs.•MB < MC means the last unit of the control variable increased costs more than it increased benefits.1-20The Geometry of Optimization: Total Benefit and CostQTotal Benefits & Total CostsBenefitsCostsQ*BCSlope = MCSlope =MB1-21The Geometry of Optimization: Net BenefitsQNet BenefitsMaximum net benefitsQ*Slope = MNB1-22Conclusion•Make sure you include all costs and benefits when making decisions (opportunity cost).•When
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