Judith Serrato PS 30 Section: 1F Homework #1 Scenario A: Qualified Unqualified (UQ) (-7,0) Community Leader (CL) Community Leader (CL) (5,-8) Publicity N Publicity N Campaign Campaign (-7,-4) (-7,0) (-2,-12) (5,-8) Strategies: 1. Publicity Campaign if Qualified; No Publicity Campaign if Unqualified 2. Publicity Campaign if Qualified; Publicity Campaign if Unqualified 3. No Publicity Campaign if Qualified; No Publicity Campaign if Unqualified 4. No Publicity Campaign if Qualified; Publicity Campaign if Unqualified Rollback Equilibrium: (UQ; N if Q, N if UQ) We will observe the Superintendent hiring someone unqualified because he would have a higher payoff and the community leader will not create a publicity campaign. The point of this game is that people in power such as the Superintendent often times take advantage of their position to hire people that often times are not qualified for a position. We can see that people in the community do have some power to bring these people in power to light, but often times it is also hard to do so because of the effort that goes into doing a publicity campaign. We see the community leader at a much greater disadvantage if the principal hired is unqualified so how are they expected to keep people accountable for their actions. I feel like this is something is an often occurrence within our society especially those in which the people are less knowledgeable of how the system works and don’t have the time or power to really build a huge against a superintendent like this. Payoffs: SI CL Publicity Camp. -7 Time & Effort -4 UQ Hired +5 -8 Superintendent (SI)Scenario B: Qualified Unqualified (UQ) (-7,0) Community Leader (CL) Community Leader (CL) (5,2) Publicity N Publicity N Campaign Campaign (-7,-4) (-7,0) (-2,-2) (5,2) RE: (UQ; N if Q, N if UQ) We predict to observe that the superintendent will hire someone unqualified and the community leader will not make a publicity campaign. From making this change the utility of the community leader if someone unqualified is hired increases. However, the increase in utility is not enough to cause a change in the preferred action of the superintendent which is to hire someone who is unqualified. Although the community leader will get media exposure, it is not likely to create enough change because of the other factors tied in with the community leader. I also want to state that although the community leader is doing great in trying to expose any unqualified peoples, it is seems like it may be done partly just for self-interest. Payoffs SI CL Publicity Campaign -7 Time & Effort -4 UQ Hired +5 -8 Media Exposure For UQ +10 Superintendent (SI)Scenario C: Qualified Unqualified (UQ) (0,1) Community Leader (CL) Community Leader (CL) () Publicity N Publicity N Campaign Campaign (-r, 1-e) (0,1) (1-r, m-e) (1, 0) Case 1: m – e ³ 0 Case 1A: 1-r ³ 0 -r ³ 1 RE: (Q; N if Q, Y if UQ) Case 2: 0 ³ m – e RE: (UQ; N if Q, N if UQ) From using the variables we learn a different outcome that may result since the weight of the payoffs are not classified as specific numbers in the previous scenarios. In this scenario we get to see that the community leader actually gets the chance to do a publicity campaign against the superintendent. That road; however, is not the one taken, in case 1 we see that the equilibrium path would be one in which the superintendent hires someone qualified because of the better pay off. In the path the community leader would not conduct a publicity campaign and it makes senses due to the matter the person is qualified. In case 2 we see what has been seen in the past two scenarios in which some unqualified is hired and no publicity campaign is done. Payoffs SI CL Publicity Campaign -r Time & Effort -e UQ Hired +1 Q Hired +1 Media Exposure For UQ +m Superintendent (SI)Scenario D: Qualified Unqualified (UQ) (1+m-e) Community Leader (CL) Community Leader (CL) ( ) Publicity N Publicity N Campaign Campaign (-r, 1+m-e) (0,1) (1-r, m-e) (1,0) Case A: 1+m-e ³ 1 M – e ³ 0 RE: (UQ; Y if Q, Y if UQ) Case 2: 1 ³ 1+m -e 0³ m-e Case 2A: -r ³ -1 Case 2B -1 ³ -r Case A would say that the community leader would do a publicity campaign regardless of whether the person hired is qualified or not. This is different from Scenario C were there was only going to be a campaign if the person who was hired was unqualified. This gives all a better Payoffs SI CL Publicity Campaign -r Time & Effort -e UQ Hired +1 Q Hired +1 Media Exposure For UQ/Q +m Superintendent (SI)payoff for the community leader. However, I believe since the superintendent sees that a publicity campaign will be done regardless of his choice then he would rather go with the choice that gives him the better payoff which is hiring someone who is unqualified. I got confused on whether or not I was supposed to do a Case 2 and was unsure of how to move forward if there