POLI SCI 106 1st Edition Lecture 21 Outline of Last Lecture 1. Formal State Institutions2. Legislature3. Executive4. Communist Party 5. Party Structure6. Party-State Relations7. Party-State Relations - Informal Politics8. Challenges and Reforms9. Challenges and Reforms - Accountability Mechanisms10. Challenges and Reforms - Successions11. Challenges and Reforms - Building a Legal System12. Challenges and Reforms - Reforming the EconomyOutline of Current Lecture 1. 19492. East-Europe, Soviet Bloc, CMEA3. Future of ChinaCurrent Lecture - China III1949 -- PRC: Single Party (CCP) dictatorship- authoritarian/democratic- authoritarian capitalism- Mao Zedong (died 1976)- reform, openness, Deng Xiaoping- Leninist command economy - like North Korea and Cuba today- East Asian development state- total control (totalitarian )- mobility, money, market- population control prices- hard vs. soft authoritarianism - state mercantilism- Singapore - authoritarian system that grew and did well- unsustainable market-LeninismThese notes represent a detailed interpretation of the professor’s lecture. GradeBuddy is best used as a supplement to your own notes, not as a substitute.- virtuous cycle- resilient authoritarianism- nationalistic legitimacy- Americans have a hard time believing any non-democratic and non-capitalist system will be able to surviveEast-Europe, Soviet Bloc, CMEA -- East Asian Leninism: stable legitimate- Meiji, Japan- unsustainable economy- vested interests - financial and property babbles- shadow banking- China argues that exports cannot keep growing at the previous rate- ossification, bubbles bust, hard-landing (political crisis)- purifiers - -anti-corruption-anti-foreign investments-xenophobic-populist- Xi Jinping - power concentration, hard repression- soft land- slower, stable growth- conjuncture, agency, contingency, Black Swans-conjunction - things that you can't predict happening-human agency - don't know how someone will act-contingency - things that happened that you couldn't imagine happening- giatsu- China is not going to democratizeFuture of China -- 1. Democratization - Okesenberg, Gilley- 2. Latin Americanization - vested elite interests get in way of elite growth of economy- 3. Singapore- 4. Stagnant Japan- 5. Wilhelmine - emperor of Germany (Wilhelm), right opulist chauvinism- 6. China wins - new Han, Jang, Qing- Possibility of these things happening...1. less than 1%2. 22%3. 11% - soft landing4. 17% - hard landing5. 17% - war possibility6. 33%-based on political science- variable- spectrum of possibilities - China in the middle- paradigm framing - how we frame the world- political futures are uncertain- most transitions are not from authoritarianism to democracy, but from one type of authoritarianism to another or from one type of democracy to another- freedoms inside China- China is most unequal stable country in the
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