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ASU MAT 142 - Conditional Probability

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Conditional ProbabilityObjectivesVocabularyFormulasTree Diagram SummaryIn a newspaper poll concerning violence on television, 600 people were asked, "What is your opinion of the amount of violence on prime-time television -- is there too much violence on television?". Their responses are summarized in the table below.Slide 7Slide 8Cards are dealt from a full deck of 52. Find the probability of each of the given events.A personal computer manufacturer buys 38% of its chips from Japan and the rest from America. 1.7% of the Japanese chips are defective, and 1.1% of the American chips are defective.Conditional ProbabilityObjectives•Find the probability of an event. •Apply rules of conditional probability. •Draw a tree diagram to determine a conditional probability.Vocabulary•conditional probabilityFormulas)()()|(BnBAnBAp)()|()( BpBApBAp -Tree Diagram Summary1. Conditional probabilities start at their condition. 2. Nonconditional probabilities start at the beginning of the tree. 3. Multiply when moving horizontally across a limb.4. Add when moving vertically from limb to limb.In a newspaper poll concerning violence on television, 600 people were asked, "What is your opinion of the amount of violence on prime-time television -- is there too much violence on television?". Their responses are summarized in the table below. Yes NoDon’t KnowTotalMen162 95 23 280Women256 45 19 320Total418 140 42 600Yes NoDon’t KnowTotalMen162 95 23 280Women256 45 19 320Total418 140 42 600•p(yes)•p(men)•p(yes | men)•p(men | yes)•p(yes  men)•p(men  yes)Standard Deck of CardsCards are dealt from a full deck of 52. Find the probability of each of the given events. •the first card is a diamond •the second card is a spade, given that the first card was a diamond •the first card is a diamond and the second card is a spade •draw a tree diagram illustrating thisA personal computer manufacturer buys 38% of its chips from Japan and the rest from America. 1.7% of the Japanese chips are defective, and 1.1% of the American chips are defective. •Find the probability that a chip is defective and made in Japan. •Find the probability that a chip is defective and made in America. •Find the probability that a chip is defective. •Find the probability that a chip is


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ASU MAT 142 - Conditional Probability

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